Source: foxcharlotte.com, Tuesday, 12 Jan 2010, 12:19 PM EST
Man Uses Math to Explain Girlfriend Woes
By FRANK CARNEVALE
A man studying in London has taken a mathematical equation that predicts the possibility of alien life in the universe to explain why he can't find a girlfriend.
Peter Backus , a native of Seattle and PhD candidate and Teaching Fellow in the Department of Economics at the University of Warwick, near London, in his paper, " Why I don't have a girlfriend: An application of the Drake Equation to love in the UK ," used math to estimate the number of potential girlfriends in the UK.
In describing the paper on the university Web site he wrote "the results are not encouraging. The probability of finding love in the UK is only about 100 times better than the probability of finding intelligent life in our galaxy."
Click Liverpool reported that Backus, 30, found that of the 30 million women in the UK, only 26 would be suitable girlfriends for him. His equation looked at the total number of women in the country, then narrowed it down using relevant factors including the number of women in London; the number of "age-appropriate" women (those aged between 24-34); women with a college degree; and those who Backus would find physically attractive.
In the paper Backus summarized that on a given night out in London there is a 0.0000034 percent chance of meeting a woman that meets his criteria and who is also interested in him. That makes his odds of finding a girlfriend only about 100 times better than finding an alien.
But in the end Backus defied the odds. Asylum reported that Backus has a girlfriend of about six months. "She's from London," he told the Web site. "And she meets all my criteria."
The Drake Equation was developed in 1961 by Dr. Frank Drake at the National Radio Astronomy Observatory in West Virginia. It reads N = R* x Fp x Ne x Fi x Fc x L, and helped predict that there could be 10,000 civilizations in our galaxy. The SETI Web site has more information about what each factor represents. Wikipedia also has an expansive entry about the equation.
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Voici une traduction trouvée dans: zigonet.com, 2010-01-23 16:01:00
Un mathématicien explique son célibat par une équation
Grande-Bretagne - Un jeune homme, chargé de travaux dirigés en mathématiques à l’université de Warwick, aurait découvert une explication à son célibat grâce à une formule mathématique.
Peter Backus, 30 ans, vient de publier sa thèse intitulée "Pourquoi je n’ai pas de petite amie" après trois ans de célibat. Pour expliquer cela, il a utilisé la fameuse formule mathématique appelée équation de Drake. Cette formule avait déjà été utilisée pour estimer l’existence d’une vie extraterrestre.
Selon lui, sur les 30 millions de femmes britanniques, seulement 26 lui conviendraient en tant que petite amie. L’équation a pris en compte les célibataires âgées entre 24 et 34 ans et vivant dans sa ville de Londres. "De ce fait lors d’une sortie, j’ai 0,0000034% de chance de rencontrer l’une de ces personnes. Cela veut dire 1 chance sur 285.000, ce qui n’est pas super" explique-t-il.
L’equation de Drake : N = R* x Fp x Ne x Fi x Fc x L , avait aidé le Professeur Drake a établir qu’il existerait 10.000 autres civilisations dans notre galaxie. M. Backus a utilisé cette équation en changeant les critères (incluant un rendez-vous idéal et le pourcentage de femmes susceptibles de le trouver attirant).
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Équation de Drake:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation
http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%89quation_de_Drake
